Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.027311 0.029290 0.031352 0.033664 0.036188 0.038861 0.041912
2025-06-22 0.023904 0.026702 0.029765 0.033380 0.037543 0.042205 0.047846
2025-06-29 0.021386 0.024616 0.028284 0.032783 0.038183 0.044497 0.052498
2025-07-06 0.019995 0.023590 0.027799 0.033130 0.039759 0.047805 0.058422
2025-07-13 0.018724 0.022549 0.027142 0.033123 0.040787 0.050393 0.063527
2025-07-20 0.017843 0.021886 0.026854 0.033484 0.042218 0.053497 0.069441
2025-07-27 0.016853 0.021001 0.026200 0.033289 0.042857 0.055543 0.074021
2025-08-03 0.015981 0.020200 0.025583 0.033070 0.043402 0.057442 0.078471
2025-08-10 0.015217 0.019487 0.025026 0.032872 0.043926 0.059297 0.082940
2025-08-17 0.014559 0.018873 0.024556 0.032744 0.044510 0.061236 0.087629
2025-08-24 0.013846 0.018144 0.023884 0.032283 0.044568 0.062385 0.091167
2025-08-31 0.013156 0.017412 0.023166 0.031707 0.044406 0.063170 0.094158
2025-09-07 0.012601 0.016846 0.022659 0.031415 0.044655 0.064599 0.098304
2025-09-14 0.012097 0.016328 0.022193 0.031153 0.044924 0.066063 0.102604
2025-09-21 0.011543 0.015714 0.021561 0.030604 0.044711 0.066739 0.105610
2025-09-28 0.011284 0.015511 0.021510 0.030923 0.045858 0.069642 0.112633
2025-10-05 0.010950 0.015184 0.021260 0.030916 0.046477 0.071707 0.118334
2025-10-12 0.010730 0.015013 0.021231 0.031249 0.047651 0.074757 0.126041
2025-10-19 0.010389 0.014648 0.020892 0.031069 0.047967 0.076356 0.131183
2025-10-26 0.010062 0.014292 0.020552 0.030868 0.048229 0.077864 0.136258
2025-11-02 0.009759 0.013960 0.020234 0.030686 0.048506 0.079406 0.141510
2025-11-09 0.009489 0.013667 0.019965 0.030568 0.048883 0.081139 0.147272
2025-11-16 0.009161 0.013274 0.019524 0.030144 0.048698 0.081829 0.150966